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SMS Revenues To Get Stratospheric |
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Written by Adam Gosling
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Monday, 26 February 2007 |
If you have any doubt about where we are going with SMS consider this: In Asia alone, in
the five minutes it takes to read this story (and then in every
subsequent five minute period over the next six years) 2,267 people will
have bought their first ever mobile phone, says Portio Research.
As we have seen in 2006 the bulk of these handsets will be low cost devices that offer little more functionality than basic
voice and SMS services. But these additional 1.4 Billion new
mobile subscribers in Asia are enough to make SMS a great business to be in.
Portio says SMS will continue to be the "star of the data services show" with traffic volumes
and revenues that continue to confound predictions.
Even factoring the declining prices of SMS, Portio says that SMS
revenues are expected to
reach a phenomenal US$67 Billion globally by 2012. Prices might be down
but the number of messages is astronomically at an anticipated 3.7
trillion message a year.
In the report, 'Mobile
Messaging Futures 2007 - 2012' Portio delves into the future of SMS and other
mobile messaging technologies such as instant messaging and mobile
e-mail. But its SMS the researcher predicts will continue to steal the show.
"If
there was one message this report should get across it is this: SMS
continues to be a phenomenal success as the cheapest, quickest and
easiest to use form of peer-to-peer mobile communication," says the company. "Markets have
continued to grow and greatly exceeded the predictions of similar
research carried out in 2005.
"SMS traffic has not flattened out in
mature markets but continued to boom whilst the US market has grown
much faster than expected. The SMS market despite declining prices
continues to be fuelled by new subscribers.
Eventually however, the report predicts that by
2011 mobile instant messaging (MIM) will statto make serious inroads into the SMS market especially
in technologically mature markets such as North America. Operators, the report suggests, need to strike a balance between
SMS and IM pricing in order to prevent the cannibalisation of SMS
revenues in the future.
'Mobile Messaging Futures 2007 - 2012'
provides detailed discussion of all mobile messaging technologies
including SMS, MMS, MIM, E-mail, Videomail and Unified Messaging as
well as business models, network technology impacts, value chain shifts
and advice for operators backedby a wealth of charts and statistics.
www.portioresearch.com
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