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Solid State Drive Prices Falling Fast |
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Written by Adam Gosling
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Friday, 16 March 2007 |
While we might not see
mainstream uptake of Flash memory-based storage devices for mainstream
laptop computers in 2007, there's little doubt that some users seeking
significant performance enhancements to run enterprise applications may
jump quite quickly.
The real watershed switch to solid state
disk technology is likely to take another year or two, or five
depending on just how fast the Flash memory makers can drive down the
prohibitive cost of the devices.
Already we are seeing significant price falls. For example, Super
Talent Technology, which announced SSD drives up to 128GB in the shadow
of this weeks announcement from SanDisk claims the price of its
Flash-based drives has dropped by half in the past 12 months. Other
companies are reporting even more precipitous falls than that.
The NAND memory used in thee drives could become affordable relatively quickly if Toshiba is correct in its prediction that Flash RAM chips could be 70 per cent less expensive by the end of March than they were a year
ago. Or as NAND manufacturer Hynix Semiconductor suggest in the same report, prices could fall by one-third in the current quarter alone!
One
of the real opportunities may not be to have a flash only notebook and
use the capabilities in Microsoft's new Vista operating system to
support two different drive types in the one device, or alternatively
to have one drive, but a hybrid spinning disk/Flash drive in the single
2.5 inch housing, such as the Samsung hybrid drive.
For its part, the Super Talent announcement this week was notable for offering such a complete range of Solid State Disk (SSD) Serial ATA (SATA) drives.
Super Talent is offering industry standard 1.8-inch, 2.5-inch, and 3.5-inch form factors in capacities ranging from 16GB to 128GB.
"This
new generation of SSD drives delivers all the benefits of Flash based
storage - rugged reliability, low power consumption and fast access
speed. But we've engineered these drives to offer twice the data
throughput at half the cost per gigabyte compared to the first SSD
drives we introduced a year-ago." stated Joe James, Marketing Director
at Super Talent Technology.
When
all is said and done, you have to accept that the design and
manufacture of these devices from Flash Memory is not rocket science
and if you look at the way pricing forUSB Flash drives - a fundamentally similar offering - has fallen since their introduction, a viable pricing model for high performance solid state storage in off the shelf notebooks could easily be less than a year away.
Apple is one notebook manufacturer who has already been linked to
plans to sell a Flash storage based laptop earlier this week when an
analysts at American Technology Research said the company hopes hopes to introduce an SSD-based subnotebook in the second half of 2007.
Shaw Wu, was among the first analysts to forecast
Apple's introduction of the iPhone, so does have some form despite
Apple being one of the most speculated about companeis on the planet.
Wu notes as flash memory prices decline that the time is right for the flash makers to make a move. "Apple, from what we understand, is pretty much ready. The ball is in the flash vendors' court," he said.
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